Sport Picks
GKS Belchatow vs Jagiellonia II
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 GIEKSA Arena, Belchatow 
Match Events
17'
17'
Poplawski K.
66'
66'
Zalewski Z.
90'
90'
Ziarek A.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between GKS Belchatow and Jagiellonia II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jagiellonia II carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GKS Belchatow | Jagiellonia II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Jagiellonia II
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs GKS Belchatow
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs GKS Belchatow
1:2
Aug 21, 2024 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Jagiellonia II
1:0
May 18, 2024 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Jagiellonia II
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
GKS Belchatow Compare
Top Goalscorer Poplawski K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Jagiellonia II Compare
Top Goalscorer Zalewski Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ziarek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
GKS Belchatow 30 / 100
Jagiellonia II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
GKS Belchatow Jagiellonia II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
GKS Belchatow scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Jagiellonia II has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
GKS Belchatow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
GKS Belchatow VS Jagiellonia II
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
GKS Belchatow
(Home) 22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1 Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1 GKS Belchatow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1 Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
13 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 3 Widzew Lodz II
Page 1 of 4
Jagiellonia II
(Away) 25 Jul
Biala Podlaska
3 : 4 Jagiellonia II
11 Jul
KTS Weszlo
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Wasilkow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1 Troszyn
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Biala Podlaska
3 : 4 Jagiellonia II
11 Jul
KTS Weszlo
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
13 May
MKS Mlawa
0 : 1 Jagiellonia II
30 Apr
Warta Sieradz
3 : 3 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
