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Club Friendly

Polonia Nysa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

GKS Belchatow play Polonia Nysa in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, GKS Belchatow averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Polonia Nysa averaged 1.48 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, GKS Belchatow won 0, Polonia Nysa won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for GKS Belchatow and 1.94 for Polonia Nysa. This points to a GKS Belchatow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

GKS Belchatow

22%

Draws

36%

Polonia Nysa

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: GKS Belchatow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

GKS Belchatow picked up more points recently compared to Polonia Nysa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%

Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	GKS Belchatow	Polonia Nysa
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	6
Draws	5	8
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	1.38	1.48
Goals Conceded	2.03	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly

GKS Belchatow vs Polonia Nysa

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1-1

Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly

Polonia Nysa vs GKS Belchatow

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

3-0

Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly

GKS Belchatow vs Polonia Nysa

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly

Polonia Nysa vs GKS Belchatow

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

2-2

Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly

GKS Belchatow vs Polonia Nysa

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GKS Belchatow 40 / 100

Polonia Nysa 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

GKS Belchatow Polonia Nysa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: GKS Belchatow or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

GKS Belchatow attacking → ← attacking Polonia Nysa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GKS Belchatow scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Polonia Nysa let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

GKS Belchatow went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Polonia Nysa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 26

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50