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GKS Katowice W vs Pogon Szczecin W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Poluhovica A.
53' Event
Maciazka K.
59' Event
Poluhovica A.

AI Match Summary

GKS Katowice W in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored GKS Katowice W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
GKS Katowice W
17%
Draws
13%
Pogon Szczecin W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: GKS Katowice W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • GKS Katowice W have won more games recently than Pogon Szczecin W.
  • Model gives GKS Katowice W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and GKS Katowice W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
GKS Katowice W Clean Sheet 18%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GKS Katowice W Pogon Szczecin W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 23 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 3.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice W vs Pogon Szczecin W
4:2
Sep 27, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs GKS Katowice W
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice W vs Pogon Szczecin W
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs GKS Katowice W
1:3
Mar 23, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice W vs Pogon Szczecin W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GKS Katowice W Compare

Top Goalscorer Langosz J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maciazka K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Pogon Szczecin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Poluhovica A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GKS Katowice W 67 / 100
Pogon Szczecin W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GKS Katowice W Pogon Szczecin W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: GKS Katowice W scored in 97% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

GKS Katowice W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Szczecin W let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

GKS Katowice W VS Pogon Szczecin W
3.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GKS Katowice W

(Home)
25 Jul
GKS Katowice W
1 : 5
Slavia Prague W
15 Jul
GKS Katowice W
1 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
15 Jul
GKS Katowice W
4 : 1
Ostrava W
30 May
GKS Katowice W
3 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
23 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 2
GKS Katowice W
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Pogon Szczecin W

(Away)
17 Jul
RB Leipzig W
9 : 0
Pogon Szczecin W
30 May
Pogon Szczecin W
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
23 May
Leczna W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
02 May
Pogon Szczecin W
2 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)