Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Glebe vs Coagh Utd

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Glebe in this Irish League Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Glebe
15%
Draws
49%
Coagh Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coagh Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Coagh Utd average 1.73 goals a game right now, well clear of Glebe's 1.57.
  • Model gives Coagh Utd a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Glebe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Glebe Clean Sheet 10%
Coagh Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glebe Coagh Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 0 3
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.33 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.22 2.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2015 Irish League Cup
Glebe vs Coagh Utd
1:0
May 1, 2010 NIFL Championship
Glebe vs Coagh Utd
2:1
Apr 24, 2010 NIFL Championship
Coagh Utd vs Glebe
0:2
Apr 28, 2009 NIFL Championship
Glebe vs Coagh Utd
0:4
Nov 22, 2008 NIFL Championship
Coagh Utd vs Glebe
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glebe 18 / 100
Coagh Utd 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glebe Coagh Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coagh Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coagh Utd let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Glebe found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Coagh Utd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Glebe VS Coagh Utd
2.57 Goals Scored 2.75
2.71 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Glebe

(Home)
27 Jul
Glebe
0 : 7
Carrick Rangers
27 Sept
Glebe
1 : 2
Chimney
17 Aug
Cookstown RBL
2 : 3
Glebe
18 Aug
Glebe
1 : 2
Bangor FC
06 Jan
Linfield
5 : 0
Glebe
Page 1 of 6

Coagh Utd

(Away)
07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1
Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2
Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Coagh Utd
27 Jul
Coagh Utd
1 : 1
Ballymena
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1
Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Linfield -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 0
Glebe 1
Banbridge 3
Armagh 1
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Donegal 0
Moyola 2
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Ballyclare 2
Wakehurst 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Larne 3
Loughgall 1
TBD -
Portadown -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Portstewart 0
Knockbreda 3
Sport & Leisure 7
Queens University 1
TBD -
Institute -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Tobermore 0
Newington FC 2
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
1/16-finals
Ards 2
Dergview 1
Glenavon 3
Annagh 4
Linfield 5
Glebe 0
Banbridge 0
Ballinamallard 5
Ballymena 4
Moyola 1
Bangor FC 1
Limavady 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Dollingstown 0
Ballyclare 1
Coleraine 3
Warrenpoint 5
Lisburn Distillery 1
Larne 1
Portadown 4
Crusaders 3
Knockbreda 1
Sport & Leisure 2
Institute 5
Glentoran 1
PSNI 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Carrick Rangers 2
Dungannon 3
Newington FC 0
Dundela 1
Cliftonville 2
1/8-finals
Ards 2
Annagh 0
Linfield 0
Ballinamallard 1
Ballymena 1
Limavady 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Coleraine 2
Warrenpoint 2
Portadown 1
Crusaders 3
Institute 4
Glentoran 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Dungannon 3
Cliftonville 4
Quarter-finals
Ards 3
Ballinamallard 2
Ballymena 1
Coleraine 2
Warrenpoint 2
Institute 1
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 3
Semi-finals
Ards 3
Coleraine 2
Warrenpoint 0
Cliftonville 1
Final
Ards 0
Cliftonville 3