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Glenavon vs Institute - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Mourneview Park, Lurgan
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Glenavon host Institute in the NIFL Championship. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Institute have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Glenavon have conceded 1.35 and scored 1.87. Past meetings favor Glenavon slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2023, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.13 - 1.31) back Institute to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Glenavon
30%
Draws
27%
Institute
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Institute have won more games recently than Glenavon.
  • Win probability leans Glenavon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 18%
Institute Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenavon Institute
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.87 2
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Glenavon vs Institute
2:0
Jan 11, 2020 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Institute
2:2
Dec 14, 2019 NIFL Premiership
Institute vs Glenavon
1:4
Nov 26, 2019 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Institute
3:1
Dec 29, 2018 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Institute
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenavon 85 / 100
Institute 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenavon Institute

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Glenavon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Glenavon scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Institute conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Glenavon VS Institute
2.88 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenavon

(Home)
31 Oct
Queens University
2 : 4
Glenavon
20 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 5
Glenavon
16 Oct
Glenavon
4 : 0
Harland & Wolff
10 Oct
Annagh
1 : 1
Glenavon
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
Page 1 of 7

Institute

(Away)
31 Oct
Institute
1 : 1
Moyola
20 Oct
Institute
0 : 3
Loughgall
16 Oct
Ards
0 : 2
Institute
10 Oct
Institute
0 : 0
Harland & Wolff
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 14 9 4 1 36:16 31
2 Glenavon 13 8 3 2 34:16 27
3 Newington FC 13 8 2 3 29:22 26
4 Institute 13 6 3 4 23:18 21
5 Ballinamallard 14 6 3 5 20:19 21
6 Queens University 14 6 2 6 24:18 20
7 Newry City 14 5 5 4 21:23 20
8 Warrenpoint 12 5 3 4 21:17 18
9 Ards 14 4 5 5 16:17 17
10 Loughgall 14 4 5 5 18:26 17
11 Harland & Wolff 13 5 1 7 19:22 16
12 Moyola 13 4 3 6 15:25 15
13 Rathfriland Rangers 13 4 1 8 14:25 13
14 Dundela 12 2 5 5 19:24 11
15 Strabane Athletic 14 2 5 7 13:24 11
16 Armagh 14 1 6 7 12:22 9
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)