Sport Picks
Glenavon vs Newington FC
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup Mourneview Park, Lurgan 
Match Events
22'
22'
Stuart D.
52'
52'
McGovern P.
78'
78'
Donnelly R.
AI Match Summary
Glenavon in this Irish Cup tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Newington FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Glenavon haven't matched Newington FC's recent run of results.
- Model gives Newington FC a 60% chance of winning this.
- Newington FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Glenavon, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Glenavon have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 10%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Glenavon | Newington FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2026 Irish Cup
Glenavon vs Newington FC
4:2
Oct 1, 2024 Irish League Cup
Newington FC vs Glenavon
2:3
Feb 3, 2009 Irish Cup
Glenavon vs Newington FC
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Glenavon Compare
Top Goalscorer McGovern P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Campbell P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Newington FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Stuart D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Donnelly R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Glenavon 18 / 100
Newington FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Glenavon Newington FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Glenavon scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Newington FC let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Difficult form: Newington FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Glenavon VS Newington FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Glenavon
(Home) 21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0 Glenavon
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5 Doncaster
25 Apr
Glenavon
2 : 3 Carrick Rangers
18 Apr
Glenavon
0 : 1 Crusaders
11 Apr
Bangor FC
0 : 0 Glenavon
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5 Doncaster
25 Apr
Glenavon
2 : 3 Carrick Rangers
18 Apr
Glenavon
0 : 1 Crusaders
04 Apr
Glenavon
1 : 1 Portadown
20 Mar
Glenavon
0 : 3 Larne
Page 1 of 3
Newington FC
(Away) 18 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 0 Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2 Newington FC
04 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 1 Newington FC
24 Apr
Newington FC
2 : 1 Loughgall
18 Apr
Newington FC
2 : 4 Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 0 Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2 Newington FC
04 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 1 Newington FC
04 Apr
Queens University
0 : 2 Newington FC
10 Mar
Warrenpoint
2 : 4 Newington FC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TBD-
Loughgall-
Wakehurst2
Knockbreda4
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Newbuildings1
Moyola2
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Comber Rec3
Hanover1
Ballymacash4
Willowbank0
Strabane Athletic2
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Armagh-
TBD-
Newry City1
Drumaness2
Lisburn Distillery4
Finaghy FC2
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Limavady-
TBD-
Lisburn Rangers5
Dergview4
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Loughgall2
Knockbreda0
Ballinamallard0
Institute3
Cliftonville3
Dundela0
Glenavon4
Newington FC2
Portadown4
Annagh2
Dungannon3
Ards0
Moyola2
Harland & Wolff4
Comber Rec0
Ballymacash3
Strabane Athletic0
Glentoran4
Armagh1
Drumaness4
Lisburn Distillery3
Warrenpoint4
Ballymena1
Larne2
Limavady4
Lisburn Rangers1
Linfield1
Bangor FC0
Carrick Rangers5
Queens University1
Coleraine4
Crusaders0
1/8-finals
Loughgall2
Institute1
Cliftonville2
Glenavon1
Portadown1
Dungannon2
Harland & Wolff3
Ballymacash0
Glentoran5
Drumaness0
Warrenpoint0
Larne2
Limavady1
Linfield0
Carrick Rangers1
Coleraine4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall0
Cliftonville3
Dungannon3
Harland & Wolff0
Glentoran1
Larne2
Limavady0
Coleraine2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Larne1
Coleraine2
Final
Dungannon2
Coleraine3
