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Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania KGV Park, Hobart
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Tollervey J.
52' Event
Denehey B.
62' Event
Chegancas A.

AI Match Summary

Devonport in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Devonport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Glenorchy Knights
15%
Draws
58%
Devonport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Devonport have won more games recently than Glenorchy Knights.
  • Devonport are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 10%
Devonport Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenorchy Knights Devonport
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.53 3.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport
1:2
May 9, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Glenorchy Knights
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Glenorchy Knights
1:1
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Glenorchy Knights
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Chegancas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Tollervey J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Denehey B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenorchy Knights 10 / 100
Devonport 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenorchy Knights Devonport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenorchy Knights's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Devonport conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Glenorchy Knights stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Glenorchy Knights VS Devonport
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenorchy Knights

(Home)
08 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 1
Launceston United
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
10 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
0 : 2
Kingborough Lions
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
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Devonport

(Away)
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6
Devonport
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