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Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania KGV Park
Fri, Jul 10, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Glenorchy Knights play Kingborough Lions in the NPL Tasmania. Kingborough Lions are favorites here. Recently, Glenorchy Knights averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Kingborough Lions averaged 4.25 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Glenorchy Knights won 2, Kingborough Lions won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Glenorchy Knights and 2.88 for Kingborough Lions. This points to a Kingborough Lions double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Glenorchy Knights
6%
Draws
90%
Kingborough Lions
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kingborough Lions has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Glenorchy Knights.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Kingborough Lions.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Tasmania provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 10%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenorchy Knights Kingborough Lions
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.25 4.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 4.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights
3:1
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Glenorchy Knights
0:8
Aug 23, 2024 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenorchy Knights 10 / 100
Kingborough Lions 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenorchy Knights Kingborough Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenorchy Knights scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Kingborough Lions let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Glenorchy Knights went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kingborough Lions lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Glenorchy Knights VS Kingborough Lions
1.25 Goals Scored 4.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%