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Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Jenkins J.
26' Event
Jenkins J.
46'
Sub
Clucas S. In: Maciulaitis N.
Out: Clucas S.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Glentoran and Carrick Rangers finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Glentoran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Glentoran
20%
Draws
23%
Carrick Rangers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Glentoran haven't matched Carrick Rangers's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Glentoran's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 18%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Carrick Rangers
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.8 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers
2:0
Mar 3, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran
0:7
Aug 30, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenkins J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Carrick Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 85 / 100
Carrick Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Carrick Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Carrick Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Glentoran went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Carrick Rangers
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 6

Carrick Rangers

(Away)
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Glentoran 10 5 1 4 15:10 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 10 1 1 8 8:20 4
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)