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Glentoran vs Cliftonville Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2025/2026 The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
Tue, Dec 2, 2025
2 - 1
07:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Wilson H.
58'
Sub
Wilson H. In: Pepper C.
Out: Wilson H.
58'
Sub
Curran R. In: McWoods E.
Out: Curran R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Glentoran advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Glentoran
15%
Draws
20%
Cliftonville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Cliftonville have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Glentoran are scoring more at 1.86.
  • Glentoran are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Glentoran, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Glentoran have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 68%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Cliftonville
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 1
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Glentoran
1:2
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Glentoran
1:2
Mar 18, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Cliftonville
3:0
Feb 24, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Glentoran
0:4
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Cliftonville
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenkins J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cliftonville Compare

Top Goalscorer McWoods E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 95 / 100
Cliftonville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Cliftonville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Cliftonville conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Glentoran stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Cliftonville
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 6

Cliftonville

(Away)
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Limavady
1 : 0
Cliftonville
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1