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Glentoran vs Dungannon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Singleton J.
40' Event
Singleton J.
45'
Larmour D.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Glentoran and Dungannon finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Glentoran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Glentoran
20%
Draws
23%
Dungannon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Dungannon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Glentoran a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 20%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Dungannon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.86 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Dungannon
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Dungannon
5:0
Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Glentoran
0:2
Nov 21, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Dungannon
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Glentoran
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Singleton J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malone J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dungannon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 85 / 100
Dungannon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Dungannon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dungannon conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Glentoran went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Dungannon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 6

Dungannon

(Away)
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Glentoran 10 5 1 4 15:10 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 10 1 1 8 8:20 4
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)