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Glentoran vs Larne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Glentoran host Larne in the NIFL Premiership. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Glentoran at 1.59 goals for, 1.24 against; Larne at 1.53 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Larne slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.38, favoring Larne. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Glentoran
30%
Draws
27%
Larne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Glentoran haven't matched Larne's recent run of results.
  • Glentoran are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 17%
Larne Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Larne
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Glentoran
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Larne
0:0
Mar 6, 2026 Irish Cup
Glentoran vs Larne
1:2
Feb 10, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Glentoran
2:2
Jan 13, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Larne
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 48 / 100
Larne 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Larne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Glentoran stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Larne has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Larne
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
30 Oct
Coleraine
1 : 1
Glentoran
17 Oct
Glentoran
1 : 0
Limavady
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Larne

(Away)
30 Oct
Larne
1 : 0
Portadown
27 Oct
Larne
1 : 1
Limavady
24 Oct
Bangor FC
1 : 2
Larne
20 Oct
Larne
1 : 2
Linfield
16 Oct
Larne
2 : 3
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 14 11 2 1 32:13 35
2 Linfield 14 10 3 1 21:11 33
3 Larne 12 8 2 2 22:10 26
4 Glentoran 13 6 3 4 17:11 21
5 Cliftonville 14 6 0 8 23:17 18
6 Carrick Rangers 14 5 3 6 23:27 18
7 Crusaders 14 6 0 8 20:29 18
8 Ballymena 12 4 3 5 17:16 15
9 Dungannon 13 4 3 6 13:18 15
10 Limavady 14 4 2 8 14:23 14
11 Bangor FC 14 2 3 9 12:26 9
12 Portadown 14 2 2 10 11:24 8
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)