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Glentoran W vs Derry City W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Glentoran W play Derry City W in the Premiership Women. Glentoran W are favorites here. Recently, Glentoran W averaged 3.77 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Derry City W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Glentoran W won 5, Derry City W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Glentoran W and 1.44 for Derry City W. This points to a Glentoran W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Glentoran W
15%
Draws
20%
Derry City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glentoran W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Glentoran W picked up more points recently compared to Derry City W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Glentoran W Clean Sheet 16%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran W Derry City W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 9
Draws 1 2
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 3.77 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premiership Women
Glentoran W vs Derry City W
3:1
Aug 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Glentoran W
2:4
Jun 13, 2025 Premiership Women
Glentoran W vs Derry City W
4:0
Oct 2, 2024 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Glentoran W
1:6
Jun 14, 2024 Premiership Women
Glentoran W vs Derry City W
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glentoran W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerr A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Foy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mcintyre R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran W 62 / 100
Derry City W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran W Derry City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Glentoran W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Glentoran W attacking → ← attacking Derry City W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran W scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Derry City W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Glentoran W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Derry City W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 29
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Linfield W751138:716
2Glentoran W651026:516
3Cliftonville W650126:715
4Lisburn Rangers W740314:1612
5Crusaders W832317:2711
6Derry City W821515:237
7Lisburn Ladies W81164:294
8Larne W80265:312