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Glesch/Paffendorf vs Hennef Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Biniazz S.
54' Event
Laux R.
57' Event
Lichter O.

AI Match Summary

Hennef in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hennef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Glesch/Paffendorf
15%
Draws
85%
Hennef
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hennef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Hennef have won more games recently than Glesch/Paffendorf.
  • Model gives Glesch/Paffendorf a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hennef have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Glesch/Paffendorf Clean Sheet 18%
Hennef Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glesch/Paffendorf Hennef
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 0 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.71 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.76 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs Glesch/Paffendorf
0:0
Nov 12, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Hennef
2:3
May 14, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs Glesch/Paffendorf
3:1
Oct 23, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Hennef
0:2
Apr 3, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Hennef
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glesch/Paffendorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Laux R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasniqi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Hennef Compare

Top Goalscorer Biniazz S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lichter O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glesch/Paffendorf 40 / 100
Hennef 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glesch/Paffendorf Hennef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glesch/Paffendorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hennef let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Glesch/Paffendorf found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (17 games).

Difficult form: Hennef registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hennef
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Glesch/Paffendorf

(Home)
03 Dec
Konigsdorf
4 : 1
Glesch/Paffendorf
26 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
0 : 4
Germania Teveren
19 Nov
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
12 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
2 : 3
Hennef
05 Nov
Bonner
2 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
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Hennef

(Away)
27 Sept
Konigsdorf
1 : 4
Hennef
20 Sept
Hennef
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
13 Sept
Eintracht Hohkeppel
3 : 0
Hennef
06 Sept
Hennef
2 : 1
Bornheim
30 Aug
FC Hurth
0 : 0
Hennef
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 28 20 5 3 79:22 65
2 VfL Vichttal 28 18 4 6 72:28 58
3 Bonner 28 16 8 4 54:20 56
4 Frechen 28 17 4 7 64:31 55
5 Bergisch Gladbach 28 16 4 8 46:33 52
6 Siegburger 28 11 6 11 43:40 39
7 Fortuna Koln II 28 9 9 10 44:47 36
8 Konigsdorf 28 9 9 10 41:44 36
9 Hennef 28 10 2 16 40:59 32
10 FC Hurth 28 8 8 12 30:49 32
11 SpVg Porz 1919 28 10 1 17 39:63 31
12 Bonn-Endenich 08 28 6 5 17 32:55 23
13 Schafhausen 28 6 4 18 25:63 22
14 Germania Teveren 28 5 3 20 33:89 18
15 Glesch/Paffendorf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borussia Freialdenhoven 28 7 12 9 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)