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Globo FC vs Alecrim

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Paulinho Macaiba
56' Event
Carlos
83' Event
Paulinho Macaiba

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Potiguar 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Globo FC
11%
Draws
80%
Alecrim
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Alecrim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alecrim lately — more wins on the board than Globo FC.
  • Model gives Alecrim a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Globo FC Clean Sheet 19%
Alecrim Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Globo FC Alecrim
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.38 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2023 Potiguar
Globo FC vs Alecrim
2:2
Jul 30, 2023 Potiguar
Alecrim vs Globo FC
0:1
Feb 9, 2023 Potiguar
Alecrim vs Globo FC
0:1
Jan 11, 2023 Potiguar
Globo FC vs Alecrim
0:0
Mar 15, 2017 Potiguar
Alecrim vs Globo FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Globo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho Macaiba
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Alecrim Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danilo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Globo FC 12 / 100
Alecrim 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Globo FC Alecrim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alecrim has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Alecrim lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Globo FC scored in 44% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Globo FC VS Alecrim
0.38 Goals Scored 1.17
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Alecrim2
Globo FC3