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Gloria Ultra vs Ceahlaul II

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gloria Ultra play Ceahlaul II in the Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025. Gloria Ultra are favorites here. Recently, Gloria Ultra averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Ceahlaul II averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Gloria Ultra won 2, Ceahlaul II won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 30, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Gloria Ultra and 2.00 for Ceahlaul II. This points to a Gloria Ultra double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Gloria Ultra
18%
Draws
17%
Ceahlaul II
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Gloria Ultra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Gloria Ultra picked up more points recently compared to Ceahlaul II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Gloria Ultra Clean Sheet 10%
Ceahlaul II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloria Ultra Ceahlaul II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.37 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs Ceahlaul II
2:0
Sep 27, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul II vs Gloria Ultra
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloria Ultra 61 / 100
Ceahlaul II 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloria Ultra Ceahlaul II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloria Ultra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gloria Ultra & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gloria Ultra attacking → ← attacking Ceahlaul II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloria Ultra scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Ceahlaul II let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Gloria Ultra went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ceahlaul II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 16
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Bacau18142250:1144
2Stiinta Miroslava18114355:2537
3CSM Bacau18103525:2333
4Gloria Ultra1886426:1230
5CSM Vaslui1893635:3230
6Bucovina Radauti1874720:2625
7Somuz Falticeni1846817:2818
8Soimii Gura Humorului18351017:3514
9ACS USV Iasi18331219:4412
10Ceahlaul II18221410:388