Sport Picks

England

Southern League Premier South

Plymouth Parkway

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gloucester City play Plymouth Parkway in the Southern League Premier South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gloucester City averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Plymouth Parkway averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Gloucester City won 3, Plymouth Parkway won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Gloucester City and 1.56 for Plymouth Parkway. This points to a Gloucester City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Gloucester City

15%

Draws

37%

Plymouth Parkway

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gloucester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Gloucester City picked up more points recently compared to Plymouth Parkway.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Gloucester City Clean Sheet 15%

Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gloucester City	Plymouth Parkway
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	16	13
Draws	4	4
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	2.1	1.69
Goals Conceded	1.37	2
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Southern League Premier South

Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

3:0

Aug 16, 2025 Southern League Premier South

Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester City

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Dec 21, 2024 Southern League Premier South

Plymouth Parkway vs Gloucester City

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

6:0

Aug 13, 2024 Southern League Premier South

Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway

Possession: 60% - 60% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Sep 23, 2018 FA Cup

Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gloucester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Simpson K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Hanks J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloucester City 46 / 100

Plymouth Parkway 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gloucester City Plymouth Parkway

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gloucester City or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gloucester City attacking → ← attacking Plymouth Parkway

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloucester City scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Plymouth Parkway let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Gloucester City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Plymouth Parkway lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 43

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Walton & Hersham	42	29	5	8	94:42	92
2	Farnham	42	25	9	8	90:50	84
3	Gloucester City	42	25	7	10	93:51	82
4	Poole Town	42	21	12	9	80:50	75
5	Berkhamsted Town	42	21	9	12	62:50	72
6	Sholing	42	18	15	9	74:53	69
7	Chertsey Town	42	19	10	13	64:55	67
8	Gosport Borough	42	19	6	17	74:75	63
9	Uxbridge	42	15	14	13	74:70	59
10	Havant & Waterlooville	42	17	7	18	78:70	58
11	Plymouth Parkway	42	16	8	18	64:79	56
12	Bracknell Town	42	15	10	17	70:71	55
13	Yate	42	14	10	18	57:62	52
14	Hanwell Town	42	14	10	18	57:63	52
15	Wimborne	42	12	15	15	63:62	51
16	Taunton Town	42	14	9	19	65:70	51
17	Basingstoke	42	14	9	19	61:71	51
18	Evesham	42	11	14	17	51:62	47
19	Weymouth	42	13	8	21	53:71	47
20	Dorchester	42	9	13	20	48:79	40
21	Hungerford	42	9	11	22	47:87	38
22	Tiverton	42	5	3	34	39:115	18