Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gneist IL vs Stord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Toftesund J.
11' Event
Ekeland R. B.
18' Event
Toftesund J.

AI Match Summary

Stord in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gneist IL
22%
Draws
60%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Stord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stord lately — more wins on the board than Gneist IL.
  • Win probability leans Stord's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gneist IL Stord
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Gneist IL vs Stord
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gneist IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Toftesund J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Majewski O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gneist IL 18 / 100
Stord 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gneist IL Stord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gneist IL scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Stord has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gneist IL remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gneist IL VS Stord
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gneist IL

(Home)
27 Jun
Djerv 1919
6 : 2
Gneist IL
20 Jun
Gneist IL
0 : 2
Askoy
13 Jun
Varegg
0 : 1
Gneist IL
01 Jun
Gneist IL
4 : 6
Sogndal 2
26 May
Asane 2
3 : 3
Gneist IL
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Stord

(Away)
27 Jun
Sogndal 2
0 : 2
Stord
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
15 Jun
Asane 2
1 : 2
Stord
30 May
Stord
2 : 2
Fyllingsdalen
22 May
V. Haugesund
4 : 1
Stord
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