Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gneist IL vs Stord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Toftesund J.
11' Event
Ekeland R. B.
18' Event
Toftesund J.

AI Match Summary

Stord in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gneist IL
35%
Draws
32%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Stord at 1.93 per game, Gneist IL at 1.55.
  • Win probability leans Gneist IL's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gneist IL Stord
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 11
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.83 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Gneist IL vs Stord
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gneist IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Toftesund J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Majewski O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gneist IL 40 / 100
Stord 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gneist IL Stord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Gneist IL found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Gneist IL remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gneist IL VS Stord
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gneist IL

(Home)
26 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 0
Gneist IL
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Gneist IL
07 Sept
Gneist IL
3 : 3
Asane 2
30 Aug
Askoy
2 : 0
Gneist IL
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Stord

(Away)
26 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Stord
17 Sept
Stord
3 : 4
Djerv 1919
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
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