Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gneist IL vs Stord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Toftesund J.
11' Event
Ekeland R. B.
18' Event
Toftesund J.

AI Match Summary

Stord in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gneist IL
22%
Draws
60%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Stord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stord lately — more wins on the board than Gneist IL.
  • Win probability leans Stord's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gneist IL Stord
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Gneist IL vs Stord
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gneist IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Toftesund J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Majewski O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gneist IL 18 / 100
Stord 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gneist IL Stord

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gneist IL scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Stord has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gneist IL remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gneist IL VS Stord
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%