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Gnistan vs HJK

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Gnistan Logo

Gnistan

1 - 1
FT
HJK Logo

HJK

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Obileye A.
Assist: Arko-Mensah E.
24' Event
Mentu P.
50'
Sub
Cissokho T. In: Bogicevic M.
Out: Cissokho T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between Gnistan and HJK finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gnistan
35%
Draws
31%
HJK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Gnistan haven't matched HJK's recent run of results.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Gnistan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 17%
HJK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan HJK
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.52 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs HJK
1:1
Aug 23, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs Gnistan
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs HJK
0:3
Mar 10, 2026 Club Friendly
HJK vs Gnistan
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liiga Cup
HJK vs Gnistan
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Obileye A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

HJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mentu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan 48 / 100
HJK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan HJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gnistan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gnistan scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

HJK let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan VS HJK
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan

(Home)
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
HJK
2 : 3
Gnistan
Page 1 of 6

HJK

(Away)
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 25 13 9 3 41:24 48
2 Inter Turku 25 13 9 3 32:18 48
3 HJK 25 12 6 7 39:29 42
4 Gnistan 25 11 8 6 40:32 41
5 VPS 25 10 6 9 30:25 36
6 AC Oulu 25 10 4 11 26:29 34
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)