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Gnistan vs KuPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Gnistan Logo

Gnistan

1 - 1
FT
KuPS Logo

KuPS

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Parzyszek P.
Assist: Pennanen P.
44'
Pennanen P.
48' Event
Milovanov B.
Assist: Latonen J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gnistan
35%
Draws
23%
KuPS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gnistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KuPS lately — more wins on the board than Gnistan.
  • Gnistan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 20%
KuPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan KuPS
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs KuPS
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs KuPS
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Gnistan
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Gnistan
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs KuPS
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Milovanov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

KuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Parzyszek P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan 58 / 100
KuPS 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan KuPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gnistan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gnistan found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

KuPS let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan VS KuPS
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan

(Home)
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
HJK
2 : 3
Gnistan
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
07 Aug
SJK
2 : 2
Gnistan
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KuPS

(Away)
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
20 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1
KuPS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 23 12 8 3 39:24 44
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 23 10 7 6 37:30 37
5 VPS 23 10 6 7 30:22 36
6 AC Oulu 23 10 4 9 25:26 34
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)