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Gnistan vs Pallohonka

Finland Finland

Kakkonen South 2014
Gnistan Logo

Gnistan

1 - 0
FT
Pallohonka Logo

Pallohonka

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ribeiro M.
79'
Tuomela V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen South 2014 game between Gnistan and Pallohonka finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gnistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gnistan
20%
Draws
22%
Pallohonka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gnistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gnistan come out ahead of Pallohonka on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gnistan a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gnistan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 20%
Pallohonka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan Pallohonka
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2014 Kakkonen South
Pallohonka vs Gnistan
0:3
Sep 6, 2014 Kakkonen South
Gnistan vs Pallohonka
1:0
May 21, 2014 Kakkonen South
Gnistan vs Pallohonka
2:1
Aug 24, 2013 Kakkonen South
Gnistan vs Pallohonka
2:1
Jul 2, 2013 Kakkonen South
Pallohonka vs Gnistan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Pallohonka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan 85 / 100
Pallohonka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan Pallohonka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gnistan scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Pallohonka conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Gnistan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan

(Home)
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
HJK
2 : 3
Gnistan
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
07 Aug
SJK
2 : 2
Gnistan
01 Aug
Gnistan
0 : 1
KuPS
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Pallohonka

(Away)
16 Jan
Pallohonka
2 : 3
Klubi 04
04 Oct
Pallohonka
2 : 5
BK-46
28 Sept
SoVo
1 : 2
Pallohonka
24 Sept
Pallohonka
0 : 3
Gnistan
20 Sept
Ekenas IF
3 : 0
Pallohonka
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ekenas IF 27 20 4 3 69:33 64
2 GrIFK 27 18 3 6 72:27 57
3 BK-46 27 15 6 6 68:40 51
4 KaPa 27 11 6 10 48:46 39
5 Klubi 04 27 11 5 11 40:48 38
6 SalPa 27 11 2 14 49:45 35
7 Pallohonka 27 8 5 14 37:47 29
8 Gnistan 27 7 8 12 32:46 29
9 SoVo 27 7 2 18 29:68 23
10 Espoo 27 2 9 16 26:70 15
Promotion - Kakkonen East 2014 (Play Offs)