Sport Picks

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Gnistan vs TPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Mon, Aug 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gnistan host TPS in the Veikkausliiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. TPS have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Gnistan have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.39. Past meetings favor Gnistan slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.31) point toward TPS. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gnistan
20%
Draws
33%
TPS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gnistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gnistan haven't matched TPS's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 18%
TPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan TPS
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs Gnistan
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Liiga Cup
TPS vs Gnistan
0:2
Mar 16, 2024 Club Friendly
TPS vs Gnistan
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Ykkosliiga
Gnistan vs TPS
2:0
Jul 23, 2023 Ykkosliiga
Gnistan vs TPS
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan 31 / 100
TPS 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan TPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gnistan's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

TPS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Gnistan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan VS TPS
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan

(Home)
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
07 Aug
SJK
2 : 2
Gnistan
01 Aug
Gnistan
0 : 1
KuPS
26 Jul
Inter Turku
1 : 2
Gnistan
18 Jul
AC Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
Page 1 of 6

TPS

(Away)
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
09 Aug
KuPS
1 : 1
TPS
01 Aug
TPS
3 : 0
Mariehamn
26 Jul
HJK
1 : 0
TPS
20 Jul
TPS
1 : 3
Ilves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 20 12 7 1 36:18 43
2 Inter Turku 20 10 8 2 28:16 38
3 HJK 20 10 4 6 32:23 34
4 Gnistan 20 9 5 6 32:26 32
5 VPS 20 8 6 6 28:21 30
6 AC Oulu 20 9 3 8 24:25 30
7 TPS 20 8 5 7 27:22 29
8 Lahti 20 7 5 8 23:18 26
9 Ilves 20 7 4 9 33:34 25
10 SJK 20 4 6 10 24:31 18
11 Jaro 20 3 6 11 18:41 15
12 Mariehamn 20 1 5 14 11:41 8
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)