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Gnistan vs VPS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Gnistan Logo

Gnistan

Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
VPS Logo

VPS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gnistan host VPS in the Veikkausliiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. VPS have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Gnistan have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor VPS slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 12, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.56 - 0.94) back VPS to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gnistan
20%
Draws
30%
VPS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gnistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Gnistan haven't matched VPS's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gnistan's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 20%
VPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan VPS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Gnistan
1:0
Jun 27, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs VPS
1:1
May 9, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Gnistan
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs VPS
0:0
Jun 18, 2025 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Gnistan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan 76 / 100
VPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan VPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gnistan found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

VPS has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Gnistan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: VPS registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan VS VPS
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan

(Home)
17 Oct
HJK
4 : 0
Gnistan
12 Oct
VPS
1 : 0
Gnistan
07 Oct
Gnistan
0 : 0
Inter Turku
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
Page 1 of 6

VPS

(Away)
18 Oct
KuPS
2 : 0
VPS
12 Oct
VPS
1 : 0
Gnistan
08 Oct
HJK
6 : 0
VPS
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Turku 28 14 10 4 34:20 52
2 HJK 28 15 6 7 53:32 51
3 KuPS 28 14 9 5 43:26 51
4 Gnistan 28 11 9 8 40:37 42
5 AC Oulu 28 12 4 12 32:34 40
6 VPS 28 11 6 11 31:33 39
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)