Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group C Stade Ludovic Giuly

Frejus Saint Raphael

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This National 2 - Group C encounter between GOAL FC and Frejus Saint Raphael promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. GOAL FC averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Frejus Saint Raphael shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for GOAL FC, 4 wins for Frejus Saint Raphael, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.02.26 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for GOAL FC and 1.00 for Frejus Saint Raphael, suggesting the primary value lies in the GOAL FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

GOAL FC

19%

Draws

39%

Frejus Saint Raphael

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: GOAL FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

GOAL FC picked up more points recently compared to Frejus Saint Raphael.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

GOAL FC Clean Sheet 23%

Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	GOAL FC	Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	9
Draws	8	8
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.27	1.23
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

14.02.26 National 2 - Group C

GOAL FC vs Frejus Saint Raphael

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

06.09.25 National 2 - Group C

Frejus Saint Raphael vs GOAL FC

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

22.02.25 National 2 - Group A

Frejus Saint Raphael vs GOAL FC

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

2:4

21.09.24 National 2 - Group A

GOAL FC vs Frejus Saint Raphael

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

0:3

21.05.22 National 2 - Group C

GOAL FC vs Frejus Saint Raphael

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

GOAL FC

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Frejus Saint Raphael

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GOAL FC Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A

0 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer El Khemiri Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Abdeldjelil O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GOAL FC 42 / 100

Frejus Saint Raphael 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

GOAL FC Frejus Saint Raphael

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: GOAL FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

GOAL FC 46%

Frejus Saint Raphael 31%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

GOAL FC 40%

Frejus Saint Raphael 41%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

GOAL FC 42%

Frejus Saint Raphael 39%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

GOAL FC 44%

Frejus Saint Raphael 37%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

GOAL FC 38%

Frejus Saint Raphael 43%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

GOAL FC 48%

Frejus Saint Raphael 45%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

GOAL FC attacking → ← attacking Frejus Saint Raphael

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GOAL FC have found the net in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Frejus Saint Raphael have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.

GOAL FC remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Frejus Saint Raphael suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 35

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cannes	30	17	9	4	53:30	60
2	Nimes	30	18	5	7	46:25	59
3	St. Maur Lusitanos	30	15	10	5	40:24	55
4	Rumilly Vallieres	30	13	8	9	49:36	47
5	Hyeres	30	11	12	7	36:27	45
6	Andrezieux	30	12	9	9	48:33	45
7	Istres	30	11	10	9	42:32	43
8	Creteil	30	12	7	11	36:34	43
9	GOAL FC	30	11	8	11	38:46	40
10	RC Grasse	30	9	9	12	41:42	36
11	Frejus Saint Raphael	30	9	8	13	37:50	35
12	Limonest	30	9	7	14	36:49	34
13	FC Bobigny 93	30	7	11	12	29:31	32
14	Toulon	30	8	10	12	38:47	31
15	Saint Priest	30	7	9	14	35:50	30
16	Rousset Ste Victoire	30	2	6	22	28:76	12