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GOAL FC vs Toulon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade Ludovic Giuly, Chasselay
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Drame Y.
90' Event
Djedid A.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group C game between GOAL FC and Toulon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
GOAL FC
35%
Draws
34%
Toulon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GOAL FC come out ahead of Toulon on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on GOAL FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
GOAL FC Clean Sheet 16%
Toulon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GOAL FC Toulon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National 1 - Group C
GOAL FC vs Toulon
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs GOAL FC
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 National 1 - Group C
GOAL FC vs Toulon
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 National 1 - Group A
GOAL FC vs Toulon
3:2
Nov 9, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs GOAL FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GOAL FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Djedid A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Drame Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GOAL FC 41 / 100
Toulon 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GOAL FC Toulon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GOAL FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

GOAL FC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Toulon conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

GOAL FC VS Toulon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GOAL FC

(Home)
03 Oct
GOAL FC
2 : 0
Lyon - La Duchere
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
GOAL FC
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
05 Sept
Bourges 18
0 : 0
GOAL FC
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
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Toulon

(Away)
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 6 5 1 0 15:3 16
2 Hyeres 6 3 3 0 11:4 12
3 Toulon 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 GOAL FC 5 2 3 0 9:5 9
5 Touraine 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
6 Hauts Lyonnais 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
7 Rumilly Vallieres 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
9 Andrezieux 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Troyes II 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Saint Priest 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
12 Limonest 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Bourges 18 5 0 4 1 1:2 4
14 Istres 6 0 4 2 2:6 4
15 Chateauroux 5 0 3 2 1:3 3
16 Lyon - La Duchere 6 1 0 5 6:16 3
17 Canet Roussillon 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)