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Goczalkowice Zdroj vs BKS Sparta Katowice

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kiklaisz K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Goczalkowice Zdroj and BKS Sparta Katowice finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goczalkowice Zdroj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
33%
Draws
40%
BKS Sparta Katowice
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BKS Sparta Katowice come out ahead of Goczalkowice Zdroj on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans BKS Sparta Katowice's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 10%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goczalkowice Zdroj BKS Sparta Katowice
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs BKS Sparta Katowice
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiklaisz K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

BKS Sparta Katowice Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goczalkowice Zdroj 26 / 100
BKS Sparta Katowice 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goczalkowice Zdroj BKS Sparta Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goczalkowice Zdroj scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

BKS Sparta Katowice has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Goczalkowice Zdroj remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Goczalkowice Zdroj VS BKS Sparta Katowice
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Goczalkowice Zdroj

(Home)
18 Jul
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 0
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
11 Jul
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1
KS Kuznia Ustron
11 Jul
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1
Unia Turza Slaska
04 Jul
Goczalkowice Zdroj
5 : 1
Szombierki Bytom
30 May
Goczalkowice Zdroj
3 : 2
Zaglebie II
Page 1 of 6

BKS Sparta Katowice

(Away)
18 Jul
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 2
Havirov
10 Jul
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 0
FK Frydek-Mistek
08 Jul
Tychy
2 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
04 Jul
BKS Sparta Katowice
5 : 1
Victoria Jaworzno
30 May
BKS Sparta Katowice
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)