Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Gornik Zabrze II Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Zagiel F.
38' Event
Nweke V.
41'
Plonka M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
20%
Draws
29%
Gornik Zabrze II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Goczalkowice Zdroj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gornik Zabrze II lately — more wins on the board than Goczalkowice Zdroj.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 16%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goczalkowice Zdroj Gornik Zabrze II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.19 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Gornik Zabrze II
2:2
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:1
May 2, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Gornik Zabrze II
2:2
Mar 10, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Zagiel F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nweke V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goczalkowice Zdroj 31 / 100
Gornik Zabrze II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goczalkowice Zdroj Gornik Zabrze II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gornik Zabrze II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goczalkowice Zdroj scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Gornik Zabrze II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Goczalkowice Zdroj stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goczalkowice Zdroj VS Gornik Zabrze II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Goczalkowice Zdroj

(Home)
26 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Legnica II
5 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
05 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
3 : 0
Kluczbork
29 Aug
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
0 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Page 1 of 7

Gornik Zabrze II

(Away)
02 Sept
Gornik Zabrze II
3 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
30 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Gornik Zabrze II
22 May
Gornik Zabrze II
6 : 0
Polkowice
16 May
Goczalkowice Zdroj
2 : 2
Gornik Zabrze II
13 May
Gornik Zabrze II
0 : 1
Legnica II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zielona Gora 34 21 10 3 77:17 73
2 Polkowice 34 20 7 7 64:42 67
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 34 18 8 8 53:34 62
4 Skra Czestochowa 34 17 8 9 68:56 59
5 Zaglebie II 34 17 6 11 77:61 57
6 Goczalkowice Zdroj 34 15 9 10 49:46 54
7 Kluczbork 34 15 7 12 67:43 52
8 Warta Gorzow 34 15 7 12 54:47 52
9 Gornik Zabrze II 34 15 6 13 73:44 51
10 Sleza Wroclaw 34 14 7 13 49:57 49
11 Woliborz 34 13 9 12 48:49 48
12 Carina Gubin 34 12 11 11 50:51 47
13 Legnica II 34 13 7 14 63:58 46
14 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 34 12 9 13 57:56 45
15 Polonia Nysa 34 9 10 15 51:58 37
16 Starowice Dolne 34 7 6 21 33:81 27
17 Pniowek Pawlowice 34 5 4 25 28:77 19
18 Stal Jasien 34 2 1 31 21:105 7
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)