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Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Szczerbal D.
32' Event
Grygier M.
76' Event
Kiklaisz K.

AI Match Summary

Goczalkowice Zdroj in this III Liga - Group III matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goczalkowice Zdroj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
15%
Draws
51%
Polonia Nysa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polonia Nysa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Polonia Nysa average 1.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Goczalkowice Zdroj's 1.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 19%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goczalkowice Zdroj Polonia Nysa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:0
Mar 18, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa
0:0
Aug 17, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Grygier M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kiklaisz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Polonia Nysa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goczalkowice Zdroj 32 / 100
Polonia Nysa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goczalkowice Zdroj Polonia Nysa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Nysa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Nysa let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Polonia Nysa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Goczalkowice Zdroj found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Goczalkowice Zdroj VS Polonia Nysa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Goczalkowice Zdroj

(Home)
10 Oct
Carina Gubin
0 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
03 Oct
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1
ROW Rybnik
26 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Legnica II
5 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Page 1 of 7

Polonia Nysa

(Away)
10 Oct
Warta Gorzow
0 : 1
Polonia Nysa
02 Oct
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Legnica II
26 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Polonia Nysa
18 Sept
Polonia Nysa
0 : 2
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)