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GOES vs Lisse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GOES host Lisse in the Derde Divisie. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. GOES have averaged 1.39 scored and 2.11 conceded recently, against Lisse's 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Past meetings favor Lisse slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.81, favoring Lisse. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
GOES
20%
Draws
40%
Lisse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lisse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lisse have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
GOES Clean Sheet 11%
Lisse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GOES Lisse
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.39 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Derde Divisie
GOES vs Lisse
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs GOES
3:0
May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs GOES
3:0
Dec 1, 2024 Derde Divisie
GOES vs Lisse
2:3
May 21, 2022 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs GOES
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GOES 35 / 100
Lisse 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GOES Lisse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

GOES scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

GOES went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lisse let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

GOES VS Lisse
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GOES

(Home)
04 Oct
GOES
0 : 4
RKSV UDI 19
26 Sept
SV Poortugaal
0 : 3
GOES
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1
UNA
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
Page 1 of 6

Lisse

(Away)
10 Oct
Lisse
2 : 0
Rijnvogels
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2
TOGB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)