Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GOES vs Rijnvogels

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GOES host Rijnvogels in the Derde Divisie. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: GOES at 1.32 goals for, 1.82 against; Rijnvogels at 1.7 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor GOES slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.50) back Rijnvogels to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
GOES
30%
Draws
29%
Rijnvogels
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GOES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Rijnvogels have won more games recently than GOES.
  • GOES are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
GOES Clean Sheet 16%
Rijnvogels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GOES Rijnvogels
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Derde Divisie
GOES vs Rijnvogels
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs GOES
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs GOES
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Derde Divisie
GOES vs Rijnvogels
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GOES 39 / 100
Rijnvogels 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GOES Rijnvogels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

GOES scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Rijnvogels let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: GOES stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GOES VS Rijnvogels
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GOES

(Home)
16 Aug
GOES
3 : 2
EVV
23 May
GOES
3 : 3
Gemert
16 May
VVSB
1 : 0
GOES
10 May
GOES
3 : 4
Meerssen
25 Apr
RKSV UDI 19
0 : 4
GOES
Page 1 of 6

Rijnvogels

(Away)
15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2
Gemert
01 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
4 : 2
Rijnvogels
06 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Rijnvogels
03 Jun
Rijnvogels
2 : 1
Excelsior Maassluis
30 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2
Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 ADO 20 Heemskerk 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Purmersteijn 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 VV Hoogeveen 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
5 Harkemase Boys 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Genemuiden 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 ACV Assen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
9 Sportlust 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
10 VV DOVO 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
11 Staphorst 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 SVZW Wierden 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
13 HVV Hollandia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 DVS '33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 TEC 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 USV Hercules 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 VV Scherpenzeel 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Eemdijk 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dongen 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Lisse 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Roosendaal 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 VV Noordwijk 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 GOES 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
6 VVSB 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Gemert 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 UNA 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 RKSV UDI 19 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 TOGB 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 EVV 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
14 SV Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Groene Ster 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
16 Blauw Geel 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Achilles Veen 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
18 VV Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)