Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between GOES and VV Noordwijk finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GOES.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GOES
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and VV Noordwijk come out ahead of GOES on wins alone.
- GOES are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
GOES Clean Sheet 10%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GOES | VV Noordwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
GOES vs VV Noordwijk
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs GOES
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
GOES 47 / 100
VV Noordwijk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
GOES VV Noordwijk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GOES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: GOES scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: VV Noordwijk conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: GOES stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
GOES VS VV Noordwijk
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
GOES
(Home) 16 Aug
GOES
3 : 2 EVV
23 May
GOES
3 : 3 Gemert
16 May
VVSB
1 : 0 GOES
10 May
GOES
3 : 4 Meerssen
25 Apr
RKSV UDI 19
0 : 4 GOES
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
GOES
3 : 2 EVV
23 May
GOES
3 : 3 Gemert
10 May
GOES
3 : 4 Meerssen
19 Apr
GOES
1 : 1 Lisse
02 Apr
GOES
1 : 2 Rijnvogels
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VV Noordwijk
(Away) 15 Aug
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0 Blauw Geel
08 Aug
VV Noordwijk
2 : 3 De Treffers
04 Aug
VV Noordwijk
1 : 1 Rijnsburgse Boys
23 May
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 TOGB
16 May
VV Kloetinge
2 : 2 VV Noordwijk
Page 1 of 7
16 May
VV Kloetinge
2 : 2 VV Noordwijk
18 Apr
Groene Ster
4 : 2 VV Noordwijk
28 Mar
SVV Scheveningen
0 : 0 VV Noordwijk
14 Mar
UNA
2 : 2 VV Noordwijk
28 Feb
GOES
3 : 1 VV Noordwijk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
