Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goiania vs Porto Velho

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2025 Estadio Olimpico Pedro Ludovico
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
de Almeida Santos J. E.
78' Event
Jhonatan Ribeiro

AI Match Summary

Goiania host Porto Velho in the Serie D 2025. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Goiania have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Porto Velho's 2.38 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Goiania slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2025, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.10 - 1.74) back Porto Velho to edge this. Porto Velho in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Goiania
6%
Draws
90%
Porto Velho
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Porto Velho has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Goiania.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Porto Velho.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Goiania Clean Sheet 12%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goiania Porto Velho
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0 2.38
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Serie D
Porto Velho vs Goiania
2:2
May 3, 2025 Serie D
Goiania vs Porto Velho
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goiania Compare

Top Goalscorer de Almeida Santos J. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jhonatan Ribeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Porto Velho Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goiania 10 / 100
Porto Velho 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goiania Porto Velho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goiania scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Porto Velho let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Goiania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Porto Velho lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Porto Velho
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tuna Luso1483324:1027
2Manauara1475227:1126
3Manaus FC1465321:1723
4Independencia Futebol Clube1463518:1921
5Aguia De Maraba1455422:1420
6Trem1453623:2418
7Gremio Atletico Sampaio1443717:2415
8SC Humaita14111212:454
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AE Altos1475222:1426
2Imperatriz1473417:1524
3Sampaio Correa1456317:1121
4Maranhao1447318:1219
5Iguatu1453615:1518
6Tocantinopolis1436511:1715
7Parnahyba1435616:2214
8Maracana1433812:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RN1483321:927
2Santa Cruz1483320:1027
3Central SC1475215:726
4Ferroviario1453615:1918
5Horizonte1452714:1717
6Santa Cruz de Natal1452713:2017
7Treze PB144197:2013
8Sousa1433811:1412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA1494127:831
2Lagarto1472520:1623
3Sergipe1464416:1022
4Juazeirense1464412:1522
5Uniao Carmolandense1454514:1619
6Jequie1444615:1616
7Barcelona FC142579:2011
8SC Penedense141585:178
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aparecidense14102232:1232
2Ceilandia1484223:1428
3Luverdense1474314:1225
4Mixto1466222:1324
5Capital1445514:1217
6Goiania1424812:2210
7Goianesia1415811:228
8Porto Velho141499:307
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa1493222:1330
2Rio Branco ES1482419:926
3Agua Santa1463520:1821
4Marica1454514:1419
5Pouso Alegre1452713:1817
6Porto Vitoria1445514:1317
7Nova Iguacu1436513:1615
8Boavista142399:239
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1493221:730
2Cianorte1464422:1722
3Goiatuba EC1464421:1622
4FC Cascavel1456315:1521
5Uberlandia1444621:2016
6Monte Azul1435613:1814
7Operario MS1435613:2214
8Itabirito1417611:2210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1482420:1026
2EC Sao Jose (PA)1475221:1126
3Joinville1463511:1121
4Marcilio Dias1456317:1521
5Guarany de Bage1454511:1419
6Brasil de Pelotas1451811:1216
7Sao Luiz1441910:2013
8Azuriz143476:1413