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Goias vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goias host Avai in the Serie B. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Goias have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Avai's 1.24 scored and 1.34 conceded. Head-to-head, Goias have won 3 to Avai's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.88) point toward Goias. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Goias
15%
Draws
51%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Goias haven't matched Avai's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Goias taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Goias Clean Sheet 20%
Avai Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goias Avai
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.86 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Goias
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Goias
2:1
May 5, 2025 Serie B
Goias vs Avai
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Serie B
Goias vs Avai
2:1
May 28, 2024 Serie B
Avai vs Goias
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goias 42 / 100
Avai 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goias Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goias's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Avai registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goias VS Avai
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Goias

(Home)
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
28 Aug
Goias
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Goias
19 Aug
Goias
0 : 1
EC Juventude
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Avai

(Away)
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
30 Aug
Avai
0 : 1
Atletico GO
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Avai
19 Aug
Avai
2 : 1
Sport Recife
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 27 14 8 5 30:15 50
2 Novorizontino 27 14 7 6 47:24 49
3 Vila Nova FC 27 14 5 8 39:30 47
4 Fortaleza 27 13 8 6 30:22 47
5 Criciuma 27 13 8 6 28:21 47
6 Operario-PR 27 12 7 8 36:33 43
7 Atletico GO 27 11 10 6 32:26 43
8 CRB 27 12 6 9 40:39 42
9 Sport Recife 27 10 11 6 36:26 41
10 Cuiaba 27 9 12 6 26:21 39
11 Nautico 27 10 7 10 32:30 37
12 Athletic Club 27 9 10 8 31:30 37
13 Goias 27 10 6 11 25:33 36
14 Sao Bernardo 27 9 8 10 37:31 35
15 Botafogo SP 27 8 7 12 30:32 31
16 Ceara 27 8 7 12 28:35 31
17 Avai 27 8 5 14 28:35 29
18 Londrina 27 6 7 14 32:39 25
19 America MG 27 4 5 18 21:46 17
20 Ponte Preta 27 2 4 21 16:56 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)