Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goias vs Fortaleza

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Luiz Felipe
15'
Sub
Felipe Clemente In: Ramon Menezes
Out: Felipe Clemente
16'
Sub
Pierre In: Ryan
Out: Pierre

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Goias
35%
Draws
45%
Fortaleza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortaleza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fortaleza lately — more wins on the board than Goias.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Fortaleza have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Goias Clean Sheet 23%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goias Fortaleza
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Fortaleza
0:1
May 2, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Goias
4:1
Dec 3, 2023 Serie A Betano
Fortaleza vs Goias
1:0
Aug 5, 2023 Serie A Betano
Goias vs Fortaleza
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 Serie A Betano
Goias vs Fortaleza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goias Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fortaleza Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goias 33 / 100
Fortaleza 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goias Fortaleza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goias found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Fortaleza let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Goias stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goias VS Fortaleza
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Goias

(Home)
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
28 Aug
Goias
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Goias
19 Aug
Goias
0 : 1
EC Juventude
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0
Goias
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Fortaleza

(Away)
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
19 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Sao Bernardo
15 Aug
EC Juventude
0 : 0
Fortaleza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 28 14 8 6 48:25 50
2 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
3 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
4 Vila Nova FC 27 14 5 8 39:30 47
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 28 12 10 6 36:26 46
7 Operario-PR 27 12 7 8 36:33 43
8 CRB 27 12 6 9 40:39 42
9 Sport Recife 27 10 11 6 36:26 41
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
12 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
13 Sao Bernardo 28 10 8 10 39:31 38
14 Nautico 27 10 7 10 32:30 37
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29:36 32
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 27 8 5 14 28:35 29
18 Londrina 27 6 7 14 32:39 25
19 America MG 28 4 5 19 21:48 17
20 Ponte Preta 27 2 4 21 16:56 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)