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Goias vs Ponte Preta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
10:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goias host Ponte Preta in the Serie B. This has Goias written all over it on paper. Ponte Preta have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Goias have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Goias slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.94 - 0.63) back Goias to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Goias
30%
Draws
9%
Ponte Preta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ponte Preta haven't matched Goias's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Goias's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Goias Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goias Ponte Preta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 1
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.03 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Goias
1:2
Aug 16, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Goias
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie B
Goias vs Ponte Preta
3:0
Nov 3, 2021 Serie B
Goias vs Ponte Preta
2:2
Jul 23, 2021 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Goias
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goias 95 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goias Ponte Preta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goias Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ponte Preta conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Goias went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Goias found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Goias VS Ponte Preta
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goias

(Home)
02 Nov
Goias
2 : 1
CRB
27 Oct
Ceara
0 : 2
Goias
19 Oct
Goias
0 : 0
Nautico
11 Oct
Operario-PR
0 : 2
Goias
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

Ponte Preta

(Away)
30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Ponte Preta
2 : 2
Fortaleza
16 Oct
Ponte Preta
1 : 1
Atletico GO
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1
Ponte Preta
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)