Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goias vs Sport Recife

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio da Serrinha
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goias host Sport Recife in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Goias at 1.13 goals for, 1.38 against; Sport Recife at 0.75 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Goias slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2024, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.06, favoring Goias. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Goias
33%
Draws
27%
Sport Recife
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Goias haven't matched Sport Recife's recent run of results.
  • Goias are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Goias Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goias Sport Recife
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2024 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Goias
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Serie B
Goias vs Sport Recife
3:0
Dec 26, 2020 Serie A Betano
Goias vs Sport Recife
1:0
Sep 6, 2020 Serie A Betano
Sport Recife vs Goias
2:1
Sep 10, 2015 Serie A Betano
Goias vs Sport Recife
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goias 40 / 100
Sport Recife 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goias Sport Recife

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goias scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Sport Recife let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Goias went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goias VS Sport Recife
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
3Operario-PR1794422:1831
4Novorizontino1786328:1630
5EC Juventude1785417:829
6Fortaleza1784520:1728
7Sao Bernardo1775523:1626
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1759314:1124
12Athletic Club1758416:1623
13Nautico1763821:2121
14Botafogo SP1755720:1820
15CRB1755726:3120
16Londrina1754825:2519
17Ceara1746715:2018
18Avai1744918:2416
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG17141211:287