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Gol Reyhan Alborz vs Sepidrood Rasht

Iran Iran

Division 1 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gol Reyhan Alborz play Sepidrood Rasht in the Division 1 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gol Reyhan Alborz averaged 0.84 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Sepidrood Rasht averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Gol Reyhan Alborz won 2, Sepidrood Rasht won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 12, 2020 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Gol Reyhan Alborz and 1.56 for Sepidrood Rasht. This points to a Sepidrood Rasht double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Gol Reyhan Alborz
15%
Draws
44%
Sepidrood Rasht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sepidrood Rasht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gol Reyhan Alborz picked up more points recently compared to Sepidrood Rasht.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Gol Reyhan Alborz Clean Sheet 15%
Sepidrood Rasht Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gol Reyhan Alborz Sepidrood Rasht
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.84 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2020 Azadegan League
Gol Reyhan Alborz vs Sepidrood Rasht
1:0
Nov 10, 2019 Azadegan League
Sepidrood Rasht vs Gol Reyhan Alborz
1:2
Apr 11, 2017 Azadegan League
Gol Reyhan Alborz vs Sepidrood Rasht
1:2
Dec 20, 2016 Azadegan League
Sepidrood Rasht vs Gol Reyhan Alborz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gol Reyhan Alborz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokhtari N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sepidrood Rasht Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gol Reyhan Alborz 40 / 100
Sepidrood Rasht 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gol Reyhan Alborz Sepidrood Rasht

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sepidrood Rasht or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gol Reyhan Alborz attacking → ← attacking Sepidrood Rasht

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gol Reyhan Alborz scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Sepidrood Rasht let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Gol Reyhan Alborz went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sepidrood Rasht lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 23
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mes Rafsanjan341910556:2967
2Aluminium Arak341712540:2063
3Mes Kerman341712542:2363
4Khoosheh Talai34178943:2659
5Baderan Tehran341671150:3855
6Havadar SC341413745:3555
7Navad Urmia341313824:2052
8Gol Reyhan Alborz341215739:2751
9Esteghlal Khuzestan341391235:2548
10Fajr Sepasi3411121134:3245
11Arman Gohar3410131140:4243
12Damash Gilan341191427:3542
13Rayka Babol348131331:3337
14Qashqai Shiraz349101533:3837
15Malavan348111531:4035
16Niroye Zamini34891732:4633
17Sepidrood Rasht34862025:4730
18Elmoadab Tabriz34242814:8510