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Gold Coast Knights SC U23 vs Queensland Lions U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

Gold Coast Knights SC U23 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gold Coast Knights SC U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
33%
Draws
27%
Queensland Lions U23
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gold Coast Knights SC U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gold Coast Knights SC U23 have won more games recently than Queensland Lions U23.
  • Win probability leans Gold Coast Knights SC U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gold Coast Knights SC U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast Knights SC U23 Queensland Lions U23
Matches Played 18 19
Wins 12 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 3.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Gold Coast Knights SC U23 vs Queensland Lions U23
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Queensland Lions U23 vs Gold Coast Knights SC U23
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast Knights SC U23 38 / 100
Queensland Lions U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast Knights SC U23 Queensland Lions U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gold Coast Knights SC U23 scored in 89% of their last 18 outings.

Queensland Lions U23 let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Gold Coast Knights SC U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast Knights SC U23 VS Queensland Lions U23
3.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gold Coast Knights SC U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
2 : 1
Wynnum Wolves U23
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
3 : 1
Brisbane City U23
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
1 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior U23
28 Jun
Rochedale U23
1 : 3
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
20 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
3 : 1
Magic United TFA FC U23
Page 1 of 4

Queensland Lions U23

(Away)
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Queensland Lions U23
12 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
04 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 2
Olympic FC U23
28 Jun
Queensland Lions U23
4 : 0
Wynnum Wolves U23
21 Jun
Queensland Lions U23
4 : 1
Rochedale U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rochedale U2319132451:2441
2Moreton City Excelsior U2319122552:2438
3Queensland Lions U2319115345:2038
4Gold Coast Knights SC U2319121649:3337
5Gold Coast U2319102746:4232
6Eastern Suburbs U231993738:2430
7Olympic FC U2319721032:4223
8QLD State Team U1719711138:4822
9Peninsula U2319621134:4620
10Wynnum Wolves U2319621127:4320
11Brisbane City U2319531135:5218
12Magic United TFA FC U2319311514:6310
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)