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Gold Coast Knights SC vs Queensland Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Croatian Sports Centre
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Match Events

8' Event
Fiechtner A.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Inman B.
70' Event
Russell D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Gold Coast Knights SC and Queensland Lions finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gold Coast Knights SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gold Coast Knights SC
39%
Draws
30%
Queensland Lions
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Queensland Lions carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast Knights SC Queensland Lions
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.38 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Queensland Lions
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights SC
2:2
May 30, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights SC
3:1
Feb 21, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Queensland Lions
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Queensland Lions
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gold Coast Knights SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Inman B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russell D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Queensland Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast Knights SC 30 / 100
Queensland Lions 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast Knights SC Queensland Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Gold Coast Knights SC found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Gold Coast Knights SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Queensland Lions has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast Knights SC VS Queensland Lions
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Peninsula18133243:2042
2Queensland Lions18132349:2041
3Moreton City Excelsior18112547:2835
4Gold Coast Knights SC17103440:2533
5Eastern Suburbs1891832:2728
6Brisbane City1876538:3927
7Wynnum Wolves1875629:3426
8Olympic FC18621031:3820
9Rochedale18431127:4515
10Gold Coast Utd17411222:3513
11Brisbane Roar U2318411326:4313
12Magic United TFA FC18411324:5413