Sport Picks
Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane Roar U23 Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
NPL Queensland Coplick Family Sports Park, Tallebudgera 
Match Events
22'
22'
Dillon O.
26'
26'
Morris A.
34'
34'
Durrington J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Queensland game between Gold Coast Utd and Brisbane Roar U23 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brisbane Roar U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gold Coast Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gold Coast Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Gold Coast Utd taking it.
- Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Brisbane Roar U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 11%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gold Coast Utd | Brisbane Roar U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 20 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:4
Mar 8, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Gold Coast Utd
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane Roar U23
0:3
May 13, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Gold Coast Utd
5:1
Aug 10, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane Roar U23
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gold Coast Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Dillon O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Brisbane Roar U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Durrington J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Morris A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gold Coast Utd 47 / 100
Brisbane Roar U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gold Coast Utd Brisbane Roar U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gold Coast Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brisbane Roar U23 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Gold Coast Utd scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Gold Coast Utd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gold Coast Utd VS Brisbane Roar U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gold Coast Utd
(Home) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0 Gold Coast Utd
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1 Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
12 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
3 : 0 Olympic FC
05 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 3 Magic United TFA FC
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Brisbane Roar U23
(Away) 14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2 Gold Coast Knights SC
07 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 2 Brisbane Roar U23
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1 Rochedale
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07 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 2 Brisbane Roar U23
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
05 Jul
Brisbane City
1 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
27 Jun
Peninsula
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
20 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 4 Brisbane Roar U23
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
