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Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane Roar U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2025 Coplick Family Sports Park
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Maieroni N.
38' Event
Ozzi I.
46' Event
Morris A.

AI Match Summary

Brisbane Roar U23 in this NPL Queensland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brisbane Roar U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Gold Coast Utd
17%
Draws
70%
Brisbane Roar U23
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Brisbane Roar U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Brisbane Roar U23 average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Gold Coast Utd's 1.
  • Win probability leans Brisbane Roar U23's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brisbane Roar U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 11%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast Utd Brisbane Roar U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:4
Mar 8, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Gold Coast Utd
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane Roar U23
0:3
May 13, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Gold Coast Utd
5:1
Aug 10, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane Roar U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gold Coast Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Brisbane Roar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maieroni N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ozzi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast Utd 14 / 100
Brisbane Roar U23 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast Utd Brisbane Roar U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Brisbane Roar U23 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gold Coast Utd scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Gold Coast Utd has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast Utd VS Brisbane Roar U23
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moreton City Excelsior22145348:2347
2Queensland Lions22133648:2942
3Peninsula22116545:2139
4Eastern Suburbs22125551:3638
5Gold Coast Knights SC22114729:2637
6Olympic FC22931029:2630
7Brisbane City22931043:4230
8Wynnum Wolves2276941:4027
9Gold Coast Utd22831125:4527
10Brisbane Roar U2322641229:3522
11St. George Willawong22471127:4819
12Sunshine Coast Wanderers22231720:649