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Gold Coast Utd vs Gold Coast Knights SC

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Coplick Family Sports Park, Tallebudgera
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
05:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gold Coast Utd host Gold Coast Knights SC in the NPL Queensland. Gold Coast Knights SC go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Gold Coast Utd at 1.25 goals for, 2 against; Gold Coast Knights SC at 2 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Gold Coast Utd have won 1 to Gold Coast Knights SC's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 2.00) back Gold Coast Knights SC to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gold Coast Utd
40%
Draws
29%
Gold Coast Knights SC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gold Coast Knights SC have won more games recently than Gold Coast Utd.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast Utd Gold Coast Knights SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Gold Coast Utd
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Gold Coast Knights SC
0:1
May 24, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Gold Coast Utd
0:1
Jun 1, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Gold Coast Utd
5:1
Mar 1, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast Utd 30 / 100
Gold Coast Knights SC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast Utd Gold Coast Knights SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gold Coast Knights SC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Gold Coast Utd found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Gold Coast Utd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast Utd VS Gold Coast Knights SC
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gold Coast Utd

(Home)
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1
Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
3 : 0
Olympic FC
05 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
28 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1
Moreton City Excelsior
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Gold Coast Knights SC

(Away)
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1
Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 2
Wynnum Wolves
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
0 : 0
Brisbane City
07 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1
Queensland Lions
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1
Moreton City Excelsior
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions19142350:2044
2Peninsula19134245:2243
3Moreton City Excelsior19113549:3036
4Gold Coast Knights SC19104542:2834
5Brisbane City1986541:4130
6Wynnum Wolves1985631:3529
7Eastern Suburbs1991933:3128
8Olympic FC19721034:3923
9Magic United TFA FC19511328:5516
10Rochedale19431229:4815
11Gold Coast Utd19421323:3714
12Brisbane Roar U2319411427:4613
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)