Sport Picks
Gold Coast Utd vs Queensland Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL Queensland Coplick Family Sports Park, Tallebudgera 
Match Events
44'
44'
Fiechtner A.
AI Match Summary
Queensland Lions in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queensland Lions.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Queensland Lions lately — more wins on the board than Gold Coast Utd.
- Queensland Lions are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 17%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gold Coast Utd | Queensland Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 8 | 26 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 20 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 2.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.89 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Queensland Lions
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Utd
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Queensland Lions
0:2
May 18, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Queensland Lions
4:2
Aug 4, 2024 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Utd
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gold Coast Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45
Queensland Lions Compare
Top Goalscorer Fiechtner A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gold Coast Utd 28 / 100
Queensland Lions 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gold Coast Utd Queensland Lions
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gold Coast Utd scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Gold Coast Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Queensland Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 34 matches.
Scoring Trends
Gold Coast Utd VS Queensland Lions
1.14 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gold Coast Utd
(Home) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0 Gold Coast Utd
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1 Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
12 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
3 : 0 Olympic FC
05 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 3 Magic United TFA FC
Page 1 of 4
Queensland Lions
(Away) 15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1 Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0 North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1 Queensland Lions
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
07 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Queensland Lions
06 Jun
Brisbane City
0 : 4 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
