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Golden Lion vs Club Colonial

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 Stade Henri-Murano, Saint-Joseph
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AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Golden Lion and Club Colonial finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Golden Lion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Golden Lion
39%
Draws
31%
Club Colonial
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Golden Lion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Golden Lion Clean Sheet 16%
Club Colonial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Lion Club Colonial
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Club Colonial
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Golden Lion
0:3
Apr 6, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Golden Lion
0:3
Nov 23, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Club Colonial
3:3
Mar 9, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Golden Lion
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Lion 30 / 100
Club Colonial 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Lion Club Colonial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Golden Lion scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Club Colonial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Golden Lion went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Golden Lion VS Club Colonial
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Golden Lion

(Home)
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
Club Peleen
1 : 2
Golden Lion
16 May
Golden Lion
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
08 May
Trenelle
0 : 0
Golden Lion
25 Apr
Golden Lion
2 : 0
Inter de Sainte-Anne
Page 1 of 6

Club Colonial

(Away)
06 Jun
Golden Star
3 : 2
Club Colonial
30 May
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
09 May
Samaritaine
2 : 3
Club Colonial
30 Apr
Club Colonial
0 : 1
Espoir
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RC Saint Joseph26215064:1094
2Franciscain26203354:1689
3Golden Lion26154751:2775
4Club Colonial26152944:3073
5Samaritaine26117849:2766
6Club Peleen261141140:4363
7Inter de Sainte-Anne26971033:3160
8Trenelle26710937:4157
9Golden Star26941332:4457
10Morne des Esses26861228:4056
11Espoir26841430:4954
12Aiglon Lamentin26631733:7447
13Robert26551622:4746
14Emulation26261818:5638
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)