Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Golden Lion vs Samaritaine

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion Stade Henri-Murano, Saint-Joseph
Golden Lion Logo

Golden Lion

2 - 2
FT
Samaritaine Logo

Samaritaine

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Trophee Gerard Janvion matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Golden Lion
30%
Draws
12%
Samaritaine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Golden Lion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Golden Lion have won more games recently than Samaritaine.
  • Model gives Golden Lion a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Golden Lion Clean Sheet 20%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Lion Samaritaine
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 21 16
Draws 5 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.45 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Samaritaine
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Golden Lion
2:3
Nov 30, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Samaritaine
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Samaritaine
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Golden Lion
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Lion 76 / 100
Samaritaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Lion Samaritaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Golden Lion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Golden Lion's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Samaritaine let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Golden Lion went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Golden Lion VS Samaritaine
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Golden Lion

(Home)
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
Club Peleen
1 : 2
Golden Lion
16 May
Golden Lion
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
08 May
Trenelle
0 : 0
Golden Lion
Page 1 of 7

Samaritaine

(Away)
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
09 May
Samaritaine
2 : 3
Club Colonial
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 2 2 0 0 9:1 8
2 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 9:2 8
3 Inter de Sainte-Anne 2 2 0 0 3:0 8
4 Assaut 2 1 1 0 6:1 6
5 Golden Lion 2 1 1 0 3:2 6
6 Morne des Esses 2 1 0 1 4:5 5
7 Samaritaine 2 0 2 0 4:4 4
8 Golden Star 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
9 Trenelle 2 0 1 1 2:6 3
10 RC Riviere-Pilote 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
11 Club Colonial 2 0 1 1 2:4 3
12 RC Lorrain 2 0 0 2 3:7 2
13 Espoir 1 0 0 1 0:5 1
14 Club Peleen 1 0 0 1 0:6 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)