Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Golden Star vs Samaritaine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Golden Star host Samaritaine in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. Little to choose between these two on current form. Golden Star have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Samaritaine's 2.06 scored and 1.06 conceded. Head-to-head, Golden Star have won 0 to Samaritaine's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.50 - 1.31) back Samaritaine to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Golden Star
30%
Draws
16%
Samaritaine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Golden Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Golden Star haven't matched Samaritaine's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Golden Star taking it.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Golden Star Clean Sheet 18%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Star Samaritaine
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Samaritaine
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Golden Star
5:0
Feb 9, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs Samaritaine
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Golden Star
4:2
Apr 6, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Golden Star
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Star 67 / 100
Samaritaine 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Star Samaritaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Golden Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Golden Star scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Samaritaine conceded in 60% of 35 recent games.

Golden Star went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Golden Star VS Samaritaine
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Golden Star

(Home)
12 Sept
Inter de Sainte-Anne
1 : 0
Golden Star
05 Sept
Golden Star
1 : 1
Trenelle
06 Jun
Golden Star
3 : 2
Club Colonial
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Golden Star
3 : 1
Espoir
Page 1 of 7

Samaritaine

(Away)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 2 2 0 0 9:1 8
2 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 9:2 8
3 Inter de Sainte-Anne 2 2 0 0 3:0 8
4 Assaut 2 1 1 0 6:1 6
5 Golden Lion 2 1 1 0 3:2 6
6 Morne des Esses 2 1 0 1 4:5 5
7 Club Peleen 2 1 0 1 2:6 5
8 Samaritaine 2 0 2 0 4:4 4
9 Golden Star 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
10 Trenelle 2 0 1 1 2:6 3
11 RC Riviere-Pilote 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
12 Club Colonial 2 0 1 1 2:4 3
13 RC Lorrain 2 0 0 2 3:7 2
14 Espoir 2 0 0 2 0:7 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)