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Golemo Konjari vs Vardar Negotino

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vardar Negotino in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vardar Negotino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Golemo Konjari
20%
Draws
38%
Vardar Negotino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Golemo Konjari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vardar Negotino lately — more wins on the board than Golemo Konjari.
  • Win probability leans Golemo Konjari's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Golemo Konjari Clean Sheet 16%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golemo Konjari Vardar Negotino
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 5
Draws 1 4
Losses 27 20
Goals Scored 0.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 2. MFL
Golemo Konjari vs Vardar Negotino
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Golemo Konjari
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golemo Konjari 41 / 100
Vardar Negotino 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golemo Konjari Vardar Negotino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vardar Negotino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Vardar Negotino lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Golemo Konjari found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Golemo Konjari VS Vardar Negotino
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Golemo Konjari

(Home)
23 May
Teteks
7 : 2
Golemo Konjari
16 May
Golemo Konjari
1 : 6
FK Skopje
10 May
Ohrid
3 : 0
Golemo Konjari
03 May
Golemo Konjari
0 : 1
Prespa
25 Apr
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 0
Golemo Konjari
Page 1 of 6

Vardar Negotino

(Away)
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 4
Osogovo
02 May
Shkendija Haracine
8 : 2
Vardar Negotino
25 Apr
Vardar Negotino
1 : 4
Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)