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Goncalense vs Artsul

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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Match Events

47' Event
Athyla

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Goncalense and Artsul finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goncalense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Goncalense
35%
Draws
32%
Artsul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Artsul come out ahead of Goncalense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Goncalense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Goncalense Clean Sheet 20%
Artsul Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goncalense Artsul
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.81 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Carioca B1
Goncalense vs Artsul
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Artsul
0:0
May 20, 2023 Carioca 2
Artsul vs Goncalense
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Artsul
0:0
Jun 5, 2021 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Artsul
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goncalense Compare

Top Goalscorer Athyla
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Artsul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goncalense 42 / 100
Artsul 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goncalense Artsul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goncalense scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Artsul has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Goncalense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Goncalense VS Artsul
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goncalense

(Home)
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
Goncalense
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
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Artsul

(Away)
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)