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Goncalense vs Artsul

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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Match Events

47' Event
Athyla

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Goncalense and Artsul finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goncalense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Goncalense
39%
Draws
31%
Artsul
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goncalense come out ahead of Artsul on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Goncalense Clean Sheet 68%
Artsul Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goncalense Artsul
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Carioca B1
Goncalense vs Artsul
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Artsul
0:0
May 20, 2023 Carioca 2
Artsul vs Goncalense
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Artsul
0:0
Jun 5, 2021 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Artsul
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goncalense Compare

Top Goalscorer Athyla
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Artsul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goncalense 41 / 100
Artsul 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goncalense Artsul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goncalense scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Artsul has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Goncalense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goncalense VS Artsul
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goncalense

(Home)
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Bonsucesso
1 : 1
Goncalense
25 Oct
Serrano FC
2 : 1
Goncalense
18 Oct
Goncalense
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
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Artsul

(Away)
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Artsul
1 : 2
Serrano FC
25 Oct
Artsul
3 : 1
AA Carapebus
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)