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Goncalense vs Audax RJ Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
22' Event
63' Event

AI Match Summary

Goncalense in this Carioca B1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Goncalense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Goncalense
20%
Draws
0%
Audax RJ
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Goncalense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Goncalense lately — more wins on the board than Audax RJ.
  • Goncalense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Goncalense Clean Sheet 68%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goncalense Audax RJ
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 0.91 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Carioca B1
Goncalense vs Audax RJ
3:2
May 24, 2025 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Audax RJ
1:1
Aug 29, 2024 Copa Rio
Audax RJ vs Goncalense
4:0
Aug 22, 2024 Copa Rio
Goncalense vs Audax RJ
0:3
Jul 27, 2024 Carioca 2
Goncalense vs Audax RJ
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goncalense 95 / 100
Audax RJ 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goncalense Audax RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goncalense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Audax RJ lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Goncalense found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Audax RJ conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Goncalense VS Audax RJ
1.2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.75
60% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Goncalense

(Home)
26 Sept
Goncalense
3 : 2
Audax RJ
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
Goncalense
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
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Audax RJ

(Away)
26 Sept
Goncalense
3 : 2
Audax RJ
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 Duque de Caxias 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 Goncalense 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
4 Artsul 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
5 Campo Grande 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
6 Goytacaz 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
7 Sao Cristovao 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 Serrano FC 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Macae 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
10 Nova Cidade 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 AA Carapebus 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
12 Audax RJ 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)