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Gondomar U19 vs Tondela U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 game between Gondomar U19 and Tondela U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gondomar U19
15%
Draws
49%
Tondela U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tondela U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tondela U19 come out ahead of Gondomar U19 on wins alone.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gondomar U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gondomar U19 Tondela U19
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Gondomar U19
3:1
Feb 25, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gondomar U19 vs Tondela U19
1:1
Nov 12, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Gondomar U19 vs Tondela U19
3:1
Aug 20, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Gondomar U19
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gondomar U19 36 / 100
Tondela U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gondomar U19 Tondela U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tondela U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gondomar U19's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tondela U19 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Tondela U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tondela U19
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gondomar U19

(Home)
27 May
Gondomar U19
0 : 1
Rio Ave U19
20 May
Anadia U19
0 : 4
Gondomar U19
13 May
Gil Vicente U19
5 : 4
Gondomar U19
07 May
Gondomar U19
1 : 4
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
29 Apr
Tondela U19
3 : 1
Gondomar U19
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Tondela U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0
Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0
Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1
Academico Viseu U19
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